![]() There have been some signs, however, that Trump’s post-New York indictment bump has stalled and even receded somewhat. Overcoming another big boost for Trump in the primary polls would be a herculean task for his Republican rivals. Ron DeSantis, seen by many as his chief GOP rival, boomed to over 30 points. Trump’s support among Republicans in national primary surveys went from the mid-40s on average to the mid-50s, as his polling lead over Florida Gov. Perhaps, the bigger question is whether Trump induces the same “rally around the flag” effect within the GOP that he benefited from after getting indicted in New York. The percentage of Republicans who thought he should be charged in New York (14% on average) is awfully similar to what we saw with the federal case.īoth figures are nearly identical to Trump’s unfavorability rating among Republicans nationally (18% on average). Maybe those percentages will start changing after Trump is arraigned in Miami on Tuesday. Just 17% of Republicans in the ABC/Post poll believed that Trump should be charged over how he handled classified documents. How strong is Trump? He's beating Republican rivals in their home states Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg via Getty Images Al Drago/Bloomberg/Getty Images Trump returned to the state on Wednesday to begin a series of appearances and interviews, including a Fox News town hall with Sean Hannity that will be broadcast today. ![]() Polling prior to his indictment in federal court suggests we shouldn’t hold our breath for that to occur.įormer US President Donald Trump speaks during a visit to a Team Trump Volunteer Leadership Training, at the Grimes Community Complex in Grimes, Iowa, US, on Thursday, June 1, 2023. One way Trump could lose ground against Biden is if Republicans start to abandon him. He only won in 2016 – and has stayed competitive in 2024 polling – because his opponents and potential opponents have been unpopular too. Indeed, outside of his inauguration in January 2017 and the opening days of the Covid-19 pandemic in early spring 2020, Trump has been consistently unpopular among the general electorate. That’s quite close to the 54% to 38% divide we saw in the ABC/Post survey on whether Trump should be indicted over the classified documents. His favorability rating averages out to approximately 38%. His national unfavorability rating averages out to around 57%. Opinions on whether Trump should face charges are clearly correlated with how people feel about him overall. Today, Biden is, on average, tied with Trump in national polls. Biden was a point ahead of him in an average of national surveys before the New York indictment. His general election polling against President Joe Biden remained tight. Yet, Trump didn’t see a polling penalty after his indictment in New York. The splits between “yes” and “no” on the two indictments are similar in the two surveys. Far fewer Americans (33%) said he shouldn’t have. Keep in mind, though, that 50% of Americans indicated in an ABC News/Ipsos poll after his New York indictment related to alleged hush money payments to adult film star Stormy Daniels. That on its face may seem devastating for Trump. Trump bemoans indictment as 'political hit job' as he hits the campaign trail with indicted aide (Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images) Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images On Friday, former President Trump was indicted by a federal grand jury on 37 felony counts in Special Counsel Jack Smith's classified documents probe. President Donald Trump arrives to deliver remarks during the Georgia state GOP convention at the Columbus Convention and Trade Center on Jin Columbus, Georgia.
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